Cardinals news from a Sabermetric point of view

Retrospective: 2006 Cardinal Best Buys

As we look back on the Cardinals’ championship season, which players contributed the most bang for the buck? Let’s check out the roster using Salary (actual amount the Cardinals paid, to the best of our knowledge) and Win Shares to come up with Win Shares per Dollar (in millions):

Rk Player Po $Mil WS WS/$
1 Wilson^ OF .083 3 36.25
2 Duncan OF .327 11 33.64
3 Luna^ 2B .224 7 31.28
4 Miles 2B .350 10 28.57
5 Wainwright P .327 8 24.46
6 Molina C .400 9 22.50
7 Rodriguez OF .332 6 18.07
8 Thompson P .334 5 14.97
9 Hancock P .355 5 14.08
10 Kinney^ P .210 2 9.53
11 Taguchi OF .825 6 7.27
12 Reyes P .327 2 6.12
13 Encarnacion OF 3.500 16 4.57
14 Spiezio OF 3.100 12 3.87
15 Carpenter P 5.000 19 3.80
16 Eckstein SS 3.333 12 3.60
17 Johnson P .327 1 3.06
18 Ponson P 1.000 3 3.00
19 Suppan P 4.000 12 3.00
20 Flores P .350 1 2.86
21 Pujols 1B 14.000 39 2.79
22 Bennett C .800 2 2.50
23 Looper P 3.500 8 2.29
24 Weaver P 1.650 3 1.82
25 Rolen 3B 12.456 22 1.77
26 Vizcaino SS 1.226 2 1.63
27 Belliard^ 2B 1.407 2 1.42
28 Bigbie OF .900 1 1.11
29 Edmonds OF 12.075 12 0.99
30 Isringhausen P 8.750 6 0.69
31 Sosa P 2.200 1 0.45
32 Marquis P 5.150 1 0.19
33 Rose^ C .105 0 0.00
34 Gall OF .327 0 0.00
35 Perez^ OF .210 0 0.00
36 Schumaker OF .329 0 0.00
37 Falkenborg^ P .265 0 0.00
38 Mulder P 7.750 0 0.00
39 Narveson P .327 0 0.00
40 Rincon P 1.200 0 0.00
41 Nelson^ SS .048 0 0.00
  Total   99.379 249 2.51
  Above average   38.704 189 4.88
  Below average   60.675 60 0.99

^ denotes midseason acquisition whose salary is either prorated and/or was subsidized by another team.

At first glance, the chart in many ways validates the team’s offseason and midseason moves:

  • Duncan’s callup and heavy playing time
  • The bargain pickup of Preston Wilson off the scrap heap
  • Hancock making the team out of Spring Training
  • Miles getting the nod at 2B much of the year
  • Wainwright pitching in the pen
  • Kinney’s mid-year callup
  • Scott Spiezio
  • Even Juan Encarnacion (though in the first year of his back-weighted contract)

Of course, not every move came up roses:

  • Hector Luna was a valuable player, while Belliard turned out not to be.
  • Even at .9 mil, Larry Bigbie was a bad signing
  • Sosa
  • Rincon
  • The team just about broke even with Looper and Weaver.

Not surprisingly, the best values were guys who made less than $1 million last year, primarily young players who saw some decent playing time. But if you consider the team average of 2.5 WS/$Mil, you can begin to see where the team has done well in its signings, and where it hasn’t. Namely, the core of value signings who contributed heavily to the team’s Win Shares were Duncan, Miles, Wainwright, Molina — all major-league-ready youngsters — and Encarnacion, Spiezio, Carpenter, Eckstein and Pujols — “value veterans,” if you will. Below the line are several injury-prone and/or aging veterans: Rolen, Edmonds, Isringhausen and Mulder. That should be instructive as the team goes about their offseason business this winter, hopefully avoiding the likes of Mulder, Weaver, Jason Schmidt, Barry Bonds and Luis Gonzalez, among others.

If this year was any lesson, the Cardinals need not overspend on the bullpen, including closer (though Izzy is under contract for $8.75 mil next year), or on quickly-aging or softer-tossing veteran starting pitchers. Identifying the Suppan or Carpenter-like value-veteran starting pitcher and an above-average outfielder at reasonable cost will be the challenge.

4 Responses to “Retrospective: 2006 Cardinal Best Buys”

  1. HoosierCardFan Says:

    I also think that even though you consider Suppan a bargain veteran, which he has been to this point, the salary he will command @ $7-8 mil + this offseason would put him in the expensive Belliard-like range for your WS/$.

    Also, I would be curious to see a WS/position, to see if we had a specific position that we could significantly increase instead of paying 3 or 4 guys to do that job (though fully realizing the potential loss of versatility).

    Brian

  2. zubin Says:

    Pip:

    Have any info on WPA/$? I think that comparison would be more telling.

  3. Fungoes » Blog Archive » Retrospective: 2006 Cardinal Best Buys (by position) Says:

    [...] Cardinals news from a Sabermetric point of view « Retrospective: 2006 Cardinal Best Buys [...]

  4. Fungoes » Blog Archive » A simple proposition: 2B platoon Says:

    [...] $2 mil). With Kennedy starting very slowly this spring (.202 GPA), and Gonzalez raking — his .419 GPA and 15.13 RC27 are tops on the team so far — Gonzalez would be a useful insurance policy, especially early in the [...]

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.