Comments on: Izzy: Bum or bum rap? http://www.fungoes.net/2008/05/13/izzy-bum-or-bum-rap/ Official blog of the St. Louis chapter of SABR Fri, 03 Feb 2012 15:37:19 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: Friday’s NL Central Review « BrewersNation http://www.fungoes.net/2008/05/13/izzy-bum-or-bum-rap/comment-page-1/#comment-5063 Friday’s NL Central Review « BrewersNation Fri, 16 May 2008 16:50:25 +0000 http://fungoes.net/?p=1131#comment-5063 [...] Fungoes takes a look at Jason Isringhausen. Has he truly been as bad as advertised, or has he simply been a victim of bad luck? The adjusted numbers show that Izzy has always had a lower than expected ERA, which suggests that he has been lucky throughout his career. At the same time, his 2008 ERA is way too inflated. He has been very unlucky after the ball has left the bat, and the numbers say that Izzy’s luck should turn around in a hurry. Just do not expect him to post an ERA below 3.00. [...] [...] Fungoes takes a look at Jason Isringhausen. Has he truly been as bad as advertised, or has he simply been a victim of bad luck? The adjusted numbers show that Izzy has always had a lower than expected ERA, which suggests that he has been lucky throughout his career. At the same time, his 2008 ERA is way too inflated. He has been very unlucky after the ball has left the bat, and the numbers say that Izzy’s luck should turn around in a hurry. Just do not expect him to post an ERA below 3.00. [...]

]]> By: HoosierCardFan http://www.fungoes.net/2008/05/13/izzy-bum-or-bum-rap/comment-page-1/#comment-5056 HoosierCardFan Wed, 14 May 2008 18:55:21 +0000 http://fungoes.net/?p=1131#comment-5056 call me crazy, but is it possible that his poor pitching is affecting these numbers? luck might be part of it, but simply pitching poorly might be as well. I'm not so sure I am interpreting these numbers in the same light, save the seemingly positive FIP #s. LD% increases because he's throwing junk up there. GB% increases, but they're getting hit harder (w/some luck adding to them finding holes. but harder hit balls are more likely to find holes) K/9 - down bc the quality of pitches are not as good. HR/9 - up bc the quality of pitches are down DER - fielders not making as many plays bc the ball's getting hit so much harder (??? is this possible?) HR/F - again, bc his pitches are finding too much of the plate and not with the movement we're accustomed to with Izzy, they're sailing out of the park. It seems his pitches have been more up in the zone this year and w/out the normal movement. Now you add to that a reduced arsenal he's throwing, and is it any wonder he's getting hit? i'm not sure what the issue is, just seems to me that luck may not be the largest part of the answer. what do you think? call me crazy, but is it possible that his poor pitching is affecting these numbers?

luck might be part of it, but simply pitching poorly might be as well. I’m not so sure I am interpreting these numbers in the same light, save the seemingly positive FIP #s.

LD% increases because he’s throwing junk up there.

GB% increases, but they’re getting hit harder (w/some luck adding to them finding holes. but harder hit balls are more likely to find holes)

K/9 – down bc the quality of pitches are not as good.

HR/9 – up bc the quality of pitches are down

DER – fielders not making as many plays bc the ball’s getting hit so much harder (??? is this possible?)

HR/F – again, bc his pitches are finding too much of the plate and not with the movement we’re accustomed to with Izzy, they’re sailing out of the park.

It seems his pitches have been more up in the zone this year and w/out the normal movement. Now you add to that a reduced arsenal he’s throwing, and is it any wonder he’s getting hit?

i’m not sure what the issue is, just seems to me that luck may not be the largest part of the answer.

what do you think?

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