Cardinals news from a Sabermetric point of view

The Cardinals’ best and worst cleanup hitters since 1956

THT’s Steve Treder has been writing an interesting series on the worst hitters of the last 50 years by batting-order split. Most recently (Monday), he posted his Worst Cleanup Hitters since 1957 . Since only one Cardinal made the list (we’re not complaining), our interest in the local angle was piqued: Who have been the worst cleanup hitters in recent Cardinal history, and, for that matter, who have been the best? With the mashing Ryan Ludwick recently taking hold of the #4 spot in the 2008 lineup — he is now tied with Rick Ankiel for the plurality of games played at the spot — where does he stand (despite his small sample size) among his thumping predecessors?

Since we had the luxury of focusing on a smaller set of players, we thought we’d enhance Treder’s methodology. First, we took the Cardinal player who had the plurality of games as cleanup batter each season. Then we looked at his splits only as a cleanup batter, and rather than use OPS+, we used GPA+ (which we calculate the same way people calculate OPS+, only with, well, GPA) compared to the NL split for cleanup hitters. And since 1956 data is available, at least for the Cardinals, we’ve cast our net one year further back.

First, the bad news, or, actually, the bad cleanup batters (number after player name is games at cleanup):

Year Player GPA lgGPA GPA+
2007 Edmonds-53 .231 .287 80.5
1965 Boyer-90 .235 .268 87.9
1994 Zeile-82 .262 .291 89.8
1991 Guerrero-111 .238 .265 90.0
2008 Ankiel-18 .256 .283 90.4
1968 Cepeda-151 .233 .257 90.6
1982 Hendrick-103 .255 .281 90.8
1957 Ennis-72 .252 .269 94.0
1990 Guerrero-120 .261 .270 96.7
1962 Boyer-67 .274 .282 97.2
1963 Boyer-93 .261 .267 97.5
1974 Simmons-96 .262 .268 97.7
1966 Cepeda-120 .280 .286 98.0
1969 Torre-158 .274 .279 98.5
1992 Jose-76 .262 .266 98.5

Fans might’ve guessed that Cub Jim Edmonds, with his dismal 2007 campaign, would appear on the list. And Pedro Guerrero and Todd Zeile never had better than 105 GPA+ seasons. But like Edmonds, guys like George Hendrick, Ted Simmons, Joe Torre and Ken Boyer also had some successful years as Cardinal cleanup hitters:

Year Player GPA lgGPA GPA+
2000 McGwire-62 .410 .304 134.8
2008 Ludwick-18 .363 .283 128.0
1987 Clark-126 .358 .285 125.8
1971 Torre-161 .328 .276 118.7
1997 Lankford-57 .324 .277 116.6
2004 Rolen-110 .340 .298 114.0
2003 Edmonds-71 .337 .297 113.5
1960 Boyer-128 .315 .279 112.8
2002 Pujols-125 .326 .291 112.3
1967 Cepeda-150 .310 .277 111.9
1985 Clark-125 .303 .271 111.7
1980 Simmons-121 .300 .269 111.4
2001 Pujols-94 .328 .295 111.2
1983 Hendrick-106 .293 .265 110.5
1999 Lankford-85 .317 .290 109.1

It’s hard to know the true place of McGwire’s 2000 campaign (not only because of his steroid use, but because of his relatively small number of games — 62 — at cleanup), as well as several of the other "top" seasons, which occurred during baseball’s PED era. As for Ludwick, even if he slacks off his pace a bit (and keeps hitting in the four hole), he has a good chance of finishing in the team’s top 15. Ankiel, on the other hand, may be producing this season, but not in the cleanup spot (he hit his eighth home run of the season last night but as a pinch hitter in the eighth spot). As we’ve seen especially in the last week, the key to Albert Pujols’s success, and of course, the team’s, is how the cleanup hitter goes.

One Response to “The Cardinals’ best and worst cleanup hitters since 1956”

  1. More man-crushing on Luddy | Pitchers Hit Eighth Says:

    [...] that Ryan Ludwick is having an off-the-charts season and should be an All-Star, the Fungoes list of Cardinals’ Worst and Best Cleanup Hitters Since 1956.  Ludwick’s current pace is second only behind Mark McGwire’s torrid pace to begin the [...]

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