Cardinals news from a Sabermetric point of view

Pujols and the Decade Triple Crown: Another angle

Derrick Goold wrote another fascinating blog post this week, this time on the idea of a decade Triple Crown. That is, players who lead in the traditional Triple Crown categories — batting average, home runs, runs batted in — over the period of any particular decade. Specifically, he looks at Rogers Hornsby, who in the 1920s was superlative in BA, HR and RBI in the National League in the 1920s. He then shows how another Cardinal great — Albert Pujols — is leading all competition in the 2000s.

Like Derrick, we are captivated by the concept of the Triple Crown. A few years ago, we coined what we called the Sabermetric Triple Crown: On-base percentage, total bases and runs created. We thought we’d apply those criteria to Hornsby and Pujols — and others — and see if the crown still fits. And for good measure, we’ll look at any 10-year period, not merely the years of a formal decade.

First, let’s consider The Rajah, whose career spanned 1915 through 1937:

Start End Player OBP Player RC Player TB
1913 1922 Hornsby .408 Hornsby 828 Wheat 2300
Hornsby (4th) 2039
1914 1923 Hornsby .413 Hornsby 946 Hornsby 2305
1915 1924 Hornsby .424 Hornsby 1129 Hornsby 2678
1916 1925 Hornsby .432 Hornsby 1310 Hornsby 3043
1917 1926 Hornsby .434 Hornsby 1325 Hornsby 3067
1918 1927 Hornsby .440 Hornsby 1377 Hornsby 3147
1919 1928 Hornsby .453 Hornsby 1470 Hornsby 3281
1920 1929 Hornsby .460 Hornsby 1575 Hornsby 3470
1921 1930 Hornsby .461 Hornsby 1456 Hornsby 3186
1922 1931 Hornsby .459 Hornsby 1375 Hornsby 3013
1923 1932 Hornsby .457 Hornsby 1179 Bottomley 2770
Hornsby (2nd) 2581

Hornsby then won the decade Sabermetric Triple Crown in nine 10-year periods, including one in which he only played nine years. Pretty amazing, even for one of the greats of the game, since it wasn’t like he was playing in an era with a bunch of patsies (see Frankie Frisch, Zack Wheat, Ross Youngs, Highpockets Kelly, Kiki Cuyler and Edd Roush, Hall of Famers all).

Before we move to Pujols, let’s look at other Cardinals who might’ve won a decade Triple Crown.The last player to win a traditional Triple Crown in a season in the NL, Ducky Joe Medwick, might’ve won a decade Triple Crown (or two) if not for the habitually on-base Mel Ott, who locked up the OBP title for four of Medwick’s best 10-year runs:

Start End Player OBP Player RC Player TB
1932 1941 Mize .419 Ott 1210 Medwick 3000
Medwick (9th) .370 Medwick (2nd) 1108
1933 1942 Ott .415 Ott 1179 Medwick 3166
Medwick (10th) .367 Medwick (2nd) 1162
1934 1943 Ott .418 Ott 1142 Medwick 3059
Medwick (12th) .365 Medwick (2nd) 1121
1935 1944 Ott .419 Medwick 1092 Medwick 2947
Medwick (13th) .369
1936 1945 Ott .420 Ott 1049 Medwick 2698
Medwick (16th) .364 Medwick (2nd) 989

And before El Hombre, there was The Man. As impressive as Hornsby’s nine decade Triple Crowns is, Stan Musial racked up 12 of them:

Start End Player OBP Player RC Player TB
1939 1948 Musial .426 Mize 866 Nicholson 2289
Musial (2nd) 852 Musial (6th) 2006
1940 1949 Musial .428 Musial 1019 Musial 2388
1941 1950 Musial .429 Musial 1163 Musial 2719
1942 1951 Musial .431 Musial 1308 Musial 3047
1943 1952 Musial .434 Musial 1350 Musial 3129
1944 1953 Musial .435 Musial 1359 Musial 3143
1945 1954 Musial .434 Musial 1657 Musial 3849
1946 1955 Musial .435 Musial 1359 Musial 3143
1947 1956 Musial .434 Musial 1374 Musial 3190
1948 1957 Musial .431 Musial 1505 Musial 3508
1949 1958 Musial .427 Musial 1466 Musial 3452
1950 1959 Musial .421 Musial 1274 Musial 3047
1951 1960 Musial .415 Musial 1189 Musial 2877
1952 1961 Musial .408 Mathews 1207 Mathews 2991
Musial (3rd) 1101 Musial (3rd) 2704

Again, Musial had no shortage of competition, playing against the likes of Willie Mays, Jackie Robinson, Ralph Kiner, Duke Snider and Eddie Mathews. Winning those 12 Triple Crown Decades is a truly amazing feat.

That brings us to Pujols and the current era. Like Medwick, Pujols has had stiff competition in the on-base category. So despite winning runs created and total bases, Pujols has yet to master a 10-year period or even a subset of a 10-year period, what with Todd Helton and Barry Bonds reaching base by natural and other means:

Start End Player OBP Player RC Player TB
1999 2008 Bonds .505 Helton 1387 Helton 3094
Pujols (2nd) 2856
2000 2009 Bonds .517 Helton 1255 Pujols 2856
2001 2010 Bonds .531 Pujols 1199 Pujols 2856
Pujols (3rd) .425

But Bonds is out of the game, and Helton isn’t far behind, so Pujols stands to inherit the OBP title for himself. The only rub is that, unless Helton keeps playing and suddenly loses the ability to get on base, Pujols won’t be able to overtake him for at least a couple of years. Actually, ceteris parabus, Pujols will have to wait until the 10-year period starting in 2004 to be able to garner all three Sabermetric Triple Crown titles:

Start End Player OBP Player RC Player TB
2002 2011 Helton .436 Pujols 1058 Pujols 2496
Pujols (2nd) .428
2003 2012 Helton .437 Pujols 932 Pujols 2165
Pujols (2nd) .434
2004 2013 Pujols .433 Pujols 756 Pujols 1771
Helton .432 Berkman 646 Rollins 1543
Berkman .418 Dunn 591 Berkman 1486

So while it’s safe to say that Albert has been a dominant player in his era, if not the most dominant player, he hasn’t been as singularly great as Hornsby and Musial were. Of course, that’s no slight against Pujols. After all, The Rajah and The Man were two of the best players the game has ever known. Pujols may yet qualify.

One Response to “Pujols and the Decade Triple Crown: Another angle”

  1. Herbal Incense Says:

    Herbal Incense…

    [...]Fungoes » Blog Archive » Pujols and the Decade Triple Crown: Another angle[...]…

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