Cardinals news from a Sabermetric point of view

2009 NLCS win-probability added

Total win-probability added for players in the 2009 National League Championship Series (data from Fangraphs).

2009-NLCS-WPA-by-player

Here’s a game-by-game look:

Player Game 1 Game 2 Game 3 Game 4 Game 5 Total
Howard .154 .156 .155 .098 .025 .588
Rollins -.051 -.142 .016 .743 -.019 .547
Ruiz .310 .060 .028 .100 -.018 .480
Martinez .418 .418
Ethier .185 .181 -.017 -.106 .056 .299
Kuo .048 .046 .200 -.006 .288
Durbin .078 .036 .000 .094 .208
Thome .054 .150 .204
Loney .202 -.071 -.050 .069 .045 .195
Belliard .045 .104 -.019 .048 .002 .180
Madson -.030 .121 .057 .030 .178
Martin .048 .173 -.009 .049 -.094 .167
Lee .145 .145
Lidge .078 .043 .003 .124
Victorino -.066 -.114 .045 .170 .086 .121
Belisario .049 .000 .065 -.003 .111
Stairs .100 .000 .100
Troncoso .010 .001 .021 .032
Werth -.008 -.110 .074 -.212 .275 .019
Billingsley .007 .007
Hudson -.033 -.001 -.018 .055 .003
Bruntlett .000
Loretta .000 -.002 -.002
Elbert -.026 -.026
Cairo -.022 -.006 -.028
Park .241 -.323 .060 -.008 -.030
Ibanez .187 -.037 -.010 -.233 .059 -.034
Utley -.070 -.058 .044 .070 -.024 -.038
Pierre -.058 -.006 -.064
Feliz .004 -.052 .004 -.087 .057 -.074
Francisco -.006 -.046 -.025 -.077
Ramirez -.026 -.104 .041 .020 -.036 -.105
Bastardo -.139 -.139
Eyre -.150 .000 -.150
Happ .076 -.258 .021 -.161
Dobbs -.168 -.168
Kemp .006 -.248 -.043 .116 -.015 -.184
Sherrill -.201 .023 -.026 -.204
Blanton -.215 -.215
Padilla .152 -.371 -.219
Wolf -.220 -.220
Hamels -.237 -.075 -.312
Kuroda -.334 -.334
Blake -.324 .066 -.018 -.020 -.071 -.367
Furcal -.172 -.097 -.033 -.065 -.013 -.380
Kershaw -.348 -.035 -.383
Broxton .014 .148 -.663 -.501

Howard was a deserving, if commonsense, pick for series MVP.

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