Cardinals news from a Sabermetric point of view

Garcia reinstates Cardinal tradition of rookie starters

Quick, who was the last Cardinal rookie pitcher to qualify for the ERA title? If you said Rick Ankiel in 2000, give yourself an extra chocolate rabbit this weekend.

With darkhorse rookie Jaime Garcia winning the fifth-starter job out of camp this spring, the Cardinals are going against recent La Runcan tradition, that is, a predilection for veteran starters. Tony La Russa’s gunshyness about pushing young pitchers — especially young lefties — into the spotlight too soon is understandable, given Ankiel’s famous flameout after finishing second in the 2000 Rookie of the Year vote.

But before Ankiel’s rookie season 10 years ago (has it been that long?), the Cardinals under La Russa regularly featured a rookie in their rotation: Alan Benes in 1996, Matt Morris in 1997 and Jose Jimenez in 1999. Moreover, the team has a proud history of rookie pitching performances. In honor of Garcia — who was fourth on the team this spring with a 3.20 K/BB and had a 7.71 K/9 — being poised for another, let’s review some of the best.

A few words of caution are in order first: We estimated WAR for these players (using the great Kalkman WAR Calculator). To account for varying run environments, we adjusted pitcher FIPs along the way. We’re confident in the results, though we’re happy to be corrected/overruled if someone has a better handle.

Year Player IP FIP WAR
1902 Mike O’Neill 288 1/3 2.76 7.3
1906 Ed Karger 219 2/3 2.34 6.1
1932 Dizzy Dean 286 3.44 6.1
1953 Harvey Haddix 253 3.40 6.0
1903 Mordecai Brown 201 3.26 5.2
1934 Paul Dean 233 1/3 3.63 4.6
1938 Bill McGee 216 3.30 4.6
1931 Paul Derringer 211.2 3.38 4.5
1997 Matt Morris 217 3.51 4.4
1967 Dick Hughes 222 1/3 3.09 4.0
1939 Mort Cooper 210 2/3 3.52 3.9
1941 Ernie White 210 3.38 3.9
1942 Johnny Beazley 215 1/3 2.87 3.7
1945 Ken Burkhart 217 1/3 3.41 3.4
1987 Joe Magrane 170 1/3 3.60 3.1
1979 John Fulgham 146 3.19 3.1
2000 Rick Ankiel 175 4.12 3.0
1944 Ted Wilks 207 2/3 3.34 3.0
1992 Donovan Osborne 179 3.31 2.7
1943 Harry Brecheen 135 1/3 2.72 2.7

We swear we don’t have a thing for Irishman Mike O’Neill, whose name has now appeared in two of our last six posts. He and Ed Karger own two of the best rookie pitching seasons you’ve probably never heard of. The list includes some players you probably have heard of, as well: Hall of Famers Dizzy Dean and Three-Finger Brown (and one player who probably should be in the Hall, Paul Derringer), as well as Cardinal heroes Harry Brecheen, Morris and Mort Cooper. And like Ankiel, some of the great rookies started well but soon met their demise, like Dick Hughes and John Fulgham. Curiously enough, the only Cardinal pitcher to win the Rookie of the Year Award, Todd Worrell, didn’t make the top 20 (his 3.71 FIP didn’t distinguish him much in 1986, when the NL run environment was relatively low).

Harvey Haddix was nicknamed the Kitten, and Brecheen (one of Bob Broeg’s favorites, we should note) was the Cat. May we propose "Gato" for Garcia?

Update: Though only one Cardinal pitcher has ever won the Rookie of the Year Award, several have received votes:

Year Player Po Points Place
2002 Simontacchi P 1 9
2000 Ankiel P 87 2
1997 Morris P 25 3
1996 Benes P 5 7
1992 Osborne P 12 5
1987 Magrane P 10 3
1987 Mathews P 1 6
1986 Worrell P 118 1
1982 LaPoint P 1 8
1967 Hughes P 6 2
1966 Jaster P 1 4
1953 Haddix P 4 2

For more, see the entire Cardinal rookie of the year voting history.

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