Cardinals news from a Sabermetric point of view

Taking a realistic view of McClellan’s spring performance

John Mozeliak notes that the Cardinals “still think we have some holes.” One is right field, stomach and Carlos Beltran would fill it well.

Despite currently polling at Fungoes as the Cardinals

3 Responses to “Taking a realistic view of McClellan’s spring performance”

  1. MuleRider342 Says:

    I like the premise for this analysis but it’s a bit ham-handed to be very useful in providing any sort of guide to how K-Mac will do THIS year. On the surface, it seems that it would be better in determining how he would do as a starter for the REST of his career, not in 2011, because isn’t that how the other guys are measured? Jumping out at me was Matt Morris’ 3.99 career starter ERA, which we know was bloated by a very uninspiring tailspin after a brilliant start to his career. When he was close to K-Mac’s age and starting, he was actually putting up very good numbers. The argument with the other guys is harder to make because their careers as starting pitchers was much more brief than Morris’ or Wainwright’s, and I’d argue that K-Mac is much closer in talent to those two than Looper, Simontacchi, or Thompson. In conclusion, your analysis should have focused more on the “early” starts from those guys – i.e. first season or two they were used more as a starter – rather than the entire rest of their career. It picks up too much what I’d call “baggage” of poor performance as mediocre talents were winding down their career rather than looking at them in “peak form,” which is where K-Mac should be right now.

  2. Weekend Round Up – 3/20/2011 | Fire Brand of the American League Says:

    […] over at Fungoes tries to take a realistic approach to evaluating Kyle McClellan’s spring […]

  3. Fantasy: Kyle McClellan | The Mennella Line Says:

    […] by including 20 starts among his 35 appearances, pegs the righty’s 2011 FIP at 3.80, and the Fungoes blog, using recent Cards pitchers who have made the transition as a guidepost, arrived at a similar […]

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